Bayona, J.A., Savran, W.H., Rhoades, D.A. and Werner, M.J. (2022). "Prospective evaluation of multiplicative hybrid earthquake forecasting models in California". Geophysical Journal International. doi:

Churchill, R. M., Werner, M. J., Biggs, J., & Fagereng, Å. (2022) "Afterslip Moment Scaling and Variability from a Global Compilation of Estimates" Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth, e2021JB023897.

Dallo, I. (2022) "Understanding the communication of event-related earthquake information in a multi-hazard context to improve society's resilience" Doctoral thesis. ETH Zurich.

Dallo, I., Stauffacher, M. & Marti, M. (2022) "Actionable and understandable? Evidence-based recommendations for the design of (multi-)hazard warning messages" International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction (74) 102917, doi:

Fallou, L., Marti, M., Dallo, I., Corradini, M. (2022) "How to fight earthquake misinformation: a communication guide" Seismological Research Letters; doi:

Gulia, L., Gasperini, P., and Wiemer, S. (2021) "Comment on 'High‐Definition Mapping of the Gutenberg–Richter b‐Value and Its Relevance: A Case Study in Italy' by M. Taroni, J. Zhuang, and W. Marzocchi" Seismological Research Letters (2022) 93 (2A): 1089–1094. doi:

Nievas, C.I., Pilz, M., Prehn, K. et al. (2022) "Calculating earthquake damage building by building: the case of the city of Cologne, Germany". Bull Earthquake Eng 20, 1519–1565. doi:

Piegari, E., Herrmann, M., Marzocchi, W. (2022) "3-D spatial cluster analysis of seismic sequences through density-based algorithms", Geophysical Journal International, Volume 230, Issue 3, September 2022, Pages 2073–2088, doi:

Savran, W.H., Werner, M. J., Schorlemmer, D. & P. J. Maechling (2022) "pyCSEP: A Python Toolkit For Earthquake Forecast Developers", Journal of Open Source Software, 7(69), 3658.

Savran, W.H., Bayona, J.A., Iturrieta, P., Asim, K.M., Bao, H., Bayliss, K., Herrmann, M., Schorlemmer, D., Maechling, P.J. and Werner, M.J. (2022), "pyCSEP: A Python Toolkit for Earthquake Forecast Developers", Seismological Research Letters,

Serafini, F., Naylor, M., Lindgren, F., Werner, M. J., & Main, I. (2022). "Ranking earthquake forecasts using proper scoring rules: Binary events in a low probability environment". Geophysical Journal International, 230(2), 1419-1440.


Bodenmann, L., Reuland Y.  & Stojadinovic, B. (2021, March 24) "Using regional earthquake risk models as priors to dynamically assess the impact on residential buildings after an event" 1st Croatian Conference on Earthquake Engineering (2021) (CroCEE), Zagreb, Croatia. doi:

Bossu, R., Finazzi, F., Steed, R., Fallou, L., Bondár, I. (2021) "'Shaking in 5 seconds!' Performance and user appreciation assessment of the earthquake network smartphone‐based public earthquake early warning" system. Seismological Research Letters;

Böse, M., Julien‐Laferrière, S., Bossu, R. & Massin, F. (2021) "Near Real‐Time Earthquake Line‐Source Models Derived from Felt Reports". Seismological Research Letters 2021; 92 (3): 1961–1978. doi:

Chioccarelli, E. and Iervolino, I. (2021) "Comparing Short‐Term Seismic and COVID‐19 Fatality Risks in Italy". Seismological Research Letters; doi:

Crowley H., Dabbeek J., Despotaki V., Rodrigues D., Martins L., Silva V., Romão, X., Pereira N., Weatherill G. and Danciu L. (2021) European Seismic Risk Model (ESRM20), EFEHR Technical Report 002, V1.0.0, 84 pp,

Crowley, H., Despotaki, V., Silva, V. et al. (2021) "Model of seismic design lateral force levels for the existing reinforced concrete European building stock". Bull Earthquake Eng 19, 2839–2865.

Dabbeek, J., Crowley, H., Silva, V. et al. (2021) "Impact of exposure spatial resolution on seismic loss estimates in regional portfolios". Bull Earthquake Eng.

Dallo, I., Marti, M. (2021) "Why should I use a multi-hazard app? Assessing the public's information needs and app feature preferences in a participatory process". International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction 2021, 57, 102197;

Danciu L., Nandan S., Reyes C., Basili R., Weatherill G., Beauval C., Rovida A., Vilanova S., Sesetyan K., Bard P-Y., Cotton F., Wiemer S., Giardini D. (2021) - The 2020 update of the European Seismic Hazard Model: Model Overview. EFEHR Technical Report 001, v1.0.0,

Falcone, G., Spassiani I., Ashkenazy Y., Shapira A., Hofstetter R., Havlin S., Marzocchi W. (2021) "An Operational Earthquake Forecasting Experiment for Israel: Preliminary Results". Frontiers in Earth Science, 9; doi: 10.3389/feart.2021.729282

Fallou, L., Finazzi, F., Bossu, R. (2021) "Efficacy and Usefulness of an Independent Public Earthquake Early Warning System: A Case Study – The Earthquake Network Initiative in Peru". Seismological Research Letters; doi: 10.1785/0220210233

Fan, J., Meng, J., Ludescher, J., Chen, X.,  Ashkenazy, Y., Kurths, J., Havlin, S., Schellnhuber, H. J. (2021) "Statistical physics approaches to the complex Earth system" Physics Reports 896, 1-84; doi:

Gulia, L., Gasperini, P. (2021) "Contamination of Frequency–Magnitude Slope (⁠b-Value) by Quarry Blasts: An Example for Italy". Seismological Research Letters; doi:

Kouskouna, V., Ganas, A., Kleanthi, M. et al. (2021) "Evaluation of macroseismic intensity, strong ground motion pattern and fault model of the 19 July 2019 Mw5.1 earthquake west of Athens" Journal of Seismology 25, 747–769. doi:

Mancini, S. Werner, M., Segou, M. & Baptie, B. (2021) "Probabilistic Forecasting of Hydraulic Fracturing‐Induced Seismicity Using an Injection‐Rate Driven ETAS Model". Seismological Research Letters; doi:

Martakis, P., Reuland, Y. & Chatzi E. (2021). "Amplitude-dependent model updating of masonry buildings undergoing demolition" Smart Structures and Systems, 27(2), 157–172. doi:

Martakis, P., Reuland Y., & Chatzi E. (2021). "Data-driven model updating for seismic assessment of existing buildings". 10th International Conference on Structural Health Monitoring of Intelligent Infrastructure, Porto, Portugal. doi:

Martins, L., Silva, V., Crowley, H. et al. (2021) "Vulnerability modellers toolkit, an open-source platform for vulnerability analysis." Bull Earthquake Eng19, 5691–5709; doi:

Mizrahi, L., Nandan, S., Wiemer, S. (2021) "The Effect of Declustering on the Size Distribution of Mainshocks". Seismological Research Letters 2021; doi:

Spassiani, I., Marzocchi, W. (2021) "An Energy‐Dependent Earthquake Moment–Frequency Distribution". Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America 2021; 111 (2): 762–774. doi:

Taroni, M., Zhuang, J., Marzocchi, W. (2021) "High‐Definition Mapping of the Gutenberg–Richter. Value and Its Relevance: A Case Study in Italy." Seismological Research Letters 2021; doi:

Vannucci, G., Lolli, B., Gasperini, P. (2021) "Inhomogeneity of Macroseismic Intensities in Italy and Consequences for Macroseismic Magnitude Estimation". Seismological Research Letters 2021; doi:

Wang, S., Werner, M., Yu, R. (2021) "How well does Poissonian Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Assessment (PSHA) approximate the simulated hazard of epidemic‐type earthquake sequences?" Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America 2021; doi:

Zhang, Y., Ashkenazy, Y. Havlin, S. (2021) "Asymmetry in Earthquake Interevent Time Intervals", Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth, 126, doi:

Zhang, Y. Zhou, D., Fan, J., Marzocchi, W., Ashkenazy, Y., Havlin, S. (2021) "Improved earthquake aftershocks forecasting model based on long-term memory" New Journal of Physics 23, doi:


Bayliss, K., Naylor, M., Illian, J., and  Main, I. (2020), "Data‐Driven Optimization of Seismicity Models Using Diverse Data Sets: Generation, Evaluation, and Ranking Using Inlabru", JGR Solid Earth (125), doi: 10.1029/2020JB020226

Bondár, I., Steed, R.,  Roch, J., Bossu, R., Heinloo, A., Saul, J., and Strollo, A. (2020), "Accurate locations of felt earthquakes using crowdsource detections", Front. Earth Sci., 8, 272, doi: 10.3389/feart.2020.00272

Bossu, R., Fallou, L., Landès, M., Roussel, F., Julien-Laferrière, S., Roch, J. and Robert Steed. (2020), "Rapid Public Information and Situational Awareness After the November 26, 2019, Albania Earthquake: Lessons Learned From the LastQuake System", Front. Earth Sci., doi: 10.3389/feart.2020.00235

Crowley, H., Silva, V., Kalakonas, P., Martins, L., Weatherill, G., Pitilakis, K., Riga, E., Borzi, B., Faravelli, M. (2020), "Verification of the European Seismic Risk Model (ESRM20)", 17WCEE Conference paper.

Dallo, I., Stauffacher, M. and Marti, M. (2020), "What defines the success of of maps and additional information on a multi-hazard platform?", International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, Volume 49, doi: 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2020.101761

Finazzi, F. (2020), "The Earthquake Network Project: A Platform for Earthquake Early Warning, Rapid Impact Assessment, and Search and Rescue", Front. Earth Sci., 8, 243, doi: 10.3389/feart.2020.00243

Fallou, L., Bossu, R., Landès, M., Roch, J., Roussel, F. and Steed, R. (2020), "Citizen Seismology Without Seismologists? Lessons Learned From Mayotte Leading to Improved Collaboration", Frontiers in Communication, Volume 5, doi: 10.3389/fcomm.2020.00049

Gasperini, P., Biondini, E., Lolli, B., Petruccelli, A. and Vannucci, G. (2020), "Retrospective short-term forecasting experiment in Italy based on the occurrence of strong (fore) shocks", doi:10.5281/zenodo.4314227

Gulia, L., Wiemer, S. and Vannucci, G. (2020), "Pseudoprospective Evaluation of the Foreshock Traffic‐Light System in Ridgecrest and Implications for Aftershock Hazard Assessment", Seismological Research Letters, doi:10.1785/0220190307

Herrmann, M. and W. Marzocchi (2020). "Inconsistencies and Lurking Pitfalls in the Magnitude–Frequency Distribution of High-Resolution Earthquake Catalogs". Seismological Research Letters 92(2A). doi: 10.1785/0220200337

Iervolino, I., Chioccarelli, E., Suzuki, A. (2020), "Seismic damage accumulation in multiple mainshock–aftershock sequences", Earthquake Engng Struct Dyn. 2020;49:1007–1027. doi: 10.1002/eqe.3275

Mancini, S., Segou, M., Werner, M.J. and Parsons, T. (2020), "The Predictive Skills of Elastic Coulomb Rate‐and‐State Aftershock Forecasts during the 2019 Ridgecrest, California, Earthquake Sequence", Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 110 (4): 1736–1751, doi: 10.1785/0120200028

Martakis, P., Reuland, Y., Ntertimanis, V. & Chatzi, Eleni. (2020, October 7). "Vibration monitoring of an existing Masonry Building under Demolition." International Association for Bridge and Structural Engineering Symposium: Synergy of Culture and Civil Engineering – History and Challenges (IABSE 2020), Wrocław, Poland. doi:

Rinaldi, A.P., Improta, L., Hainzl, S., Catalli, F., Urpi, L. and Wiemer S. (2020), "Combined approach of poroelastic and earthquake nucleation applied to the reservoir-induced seismic activity in the Val d’Agri area, Italy", Journal of Rock Mechanics and Geotechnical Engineering, 12 (4), 802-810, doi: 10.1016/j.jrmge.2020.04.003

Savran, W.H., Werner, M.J., Marzocchi, W., Rhoades, D.A., Jackson, D.D., Milner, K., Field, E. and Michael A. (2020), "Pseudoprospective Evaluation of UCERF3‐ETAS Forecasts during the 2019 Ridgecrest Sequence", Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 110 (4): 1799–1817, doi: 10.1785/0120200026

Zhang, L., Goda, K., Werner, M. and Tesfamariam, S. (2020) "Spatiotemporal seismic hazard and risk assessment of M9.0 megathrust earthquake sequences of wood‐frame houses in Victoria, British Columbia, Canada", Earthquake Engineering and Structural Dynamics: pp. 1-20, doi: 10.1002/eqe.3286

Zhang, L., Werner, M.J. and Goda, K. (2020), "Variability of ETAS Parameters in Global Subduction Zones and Applications to Mainshock–Aftershock Hazard Assessment", Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 110 (1): 191–212, doi: 10.1785/0120190121

Zhang, Y.,  Fan, J., Marzocchi, W., Shapira, A., Hofstetter, R., Havlin, S. and Ashkenazy, Y. (2020), "Scaling laws in earthquake memory for interevent times and distances", Phys. Rev. Research 2, doi: 10.1103/PhysRevResearch.2.013264


All RISE publications, datasets & softwares are uploaded on Zenodo.


"Global Dynamic Exposure and the OpenBuildingMap – A Crowd-Sourced Approach to Disaster Risk Assessment and Reduction"
Second International Conference on Natural Hazards and Risks in a Changing World 2021
Authors: Danijel Schorlemmer, Danijel; Fabrice Cotton, Felix Delattre, Tara Evaz Zadeh, Kevin Fleming, Nicolas Garcia Ospina, Naoshi Hirata, Marius Kriegerowski, Cecilia Nievas, Karsten Prehn, Simantini Shinde, Max Wyss

"OBMGapAnalysis - Automatic building completeness assessment with open settlement datasets"
Second International Conference on Natural Hazards and Risks in a Changing World 2021
Authors: Nicolas Garcia Ospina, Danijel Schorlemmer

"A census-derived aggregated exposure model (AEM) for Japan"
Second International Conference on Natural Hazards and Risks in a Changing World 2021
Authors: Simantini Shinde, Kevin Fleming, Cecilia Nievas, Danijel Schorlemmer

"The use of high-resolution building exposure models: earthquake damage scenario for the city of Cologne, Germany"
Second International Conference on Natural Hazards and Risks in a Changing World 2021
Authors: Cecilia Nievas, Marco Pilz, Fabrice Cotton, Karsten Prehn, Hoby Razafindrakoto, Danijel Schorlemmer, Greame Weatherill, Thomas Spies

"Rabotnik – An asyncronous and flexible data and task management ecosystem"
Second International Conference on Natural Hazards and Risks in a Changing World 2021
Authors: Felix Delattre, Marius Kriegerowski, Danijel Schorlemmer

"Tile- and building-by-building-based damage calculations"
Second International Conference on Natural Hazards and Risks in a Changing World 2021
Authors: Tara Evaz Zadeh, Cecilia Nievas and Danijel Schorlemmer

"Inside the Global Dynamic Exposure model: bringing together aggregated models and crowd-sourced building-level data"
Second International Conference on Natural Hazards and Risks in a Changing World 2021
Authors: Cecilia Nievas and Danijel Schorlemmer

"Earthquake Damage Scenario for the City of Cologne, Germany"
D-A-CH Tagung: Erdbebeningenieurwesen und Baudynamik, 16-17 September 2021 (Online)
Authors: Cecilia Nievas, Marco Pilz, Fabrice Cotton, Karsten Prehn, Hoby N.T. Razafindrakoto, Danijel Schorlemmer, Graeme Weatherill, Thomas Spies

"Clickpleteness – How to assess the degree of completeness of building stock data in OpenStreetMap"
Second International Conference on Natural Hazards and Risks in a Changing World 2021
Authors: Karsten Prehn, Danijel Schorlemmer

"How to best involve different stakeholders in the design process of products and services to communicate multi-hazard information?"
EGU Conference 2021 (Virtual Pico Presentation)
Authors: Michèle Marti and Irina Dallo

"Ensemble Earthquake Forecasting with a Logistic Regression Model"
Seismological Society of America – Annual Meeting 2021 (Virtual)
Link to poster:
Authors: Marcus Herrmann and Warner Marzocchi

"Inconsistencies and lurking pitfalls in the magnitude-frequency distribution of high-resolution earthquake catalogs"
Southern California Earthquake Center (SCEC) 2020 Annual Meeting (Virtual)
Link to poster and further information
Authors: Marcus Herrmann and Warner Marzocchi

"OMG, Earthquake!: Pursuing Rapid Situational Awareness for Earthquakes Globally through Citizen Seismology"
Citizen Science Conference 14–15 October 2020.
Link to download the presentation
Authors: Rémy Bossu and EMSC Team

"Understanding public’s preferences for information provided on multi-hazard platforms"
EGU General Assembly 2020, Vienna, Austria 4–8 May 2020
Link to presentation and further information
Authors: Irina Dallo, Michael Stauffacher and Michèle Marti